Macro Prediction Markets

Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

LIVE
1% YES
↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of October 15, 2026, there leads at 1% odds with $70K positioned by 139 trades and resolves January 2027.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Jan 2027
Total Volume
$70K
Status
Live
Winner / Leader
No (99%)

This market resolves YES if there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

1%
$699 staked

Market predicts YES

99%
$69K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$1K
24h Change
+0.0%
Average Trade
$503
Total Volume
$70K
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Our Take

Updated Recently

Market strongly favors NO at 99% odds. As of 10/15/2026, this market has $70K traded and 139 traders.

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Trade on Polymarket
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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 15/100
$70K traded · Limited liquidity