Macro Prediction Markets
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
LIVE5% YES
↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of August 7, 2026, the upper bound of the target federal funds rate leads at 5% odds with $2.4M positioned by 4,814 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$2.4M
Status
Live
Winner / Leader
No (95%)
This market resolves YES if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
5%
$120K staked
Market predicts YES
95%
$2.29M staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$4K
24h Change
+0.0%
Average Trade
$500
Total Volume
$2.41M
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Our Take
Updated Recently
Market strongly favors NO at 95% odds. As of 8/7/2026, this market has $2.4M traded and 4,814 traders.
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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 44/100
$2.4M traded · Limited liquidity