Macro Prediction Markets

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?

LIVE
3% YES
0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of June 17, 2026, the upper bound of the target federal funds rate leads at 3% odds with $2.4M positioned by 4,802 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$2.4M
Status
Live
Winner / Leader
No (97%)

This market resolves YES if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

3%
$72K staked

Market predicts YES

97%
$2.33M staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$8K
24h Change
+0.0%
Average Trade
$500
Total Volume
$2.40M
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Our Take

Updated Recently

Market strongly favors NO at 97% odds. As of 6/17/2026, this market has $2.4M traded and 4,802 traders.

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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 44/100
$2.4M traded · Limited liquidity