Macro Prediction Markets
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
LIVE31% YES
↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of September 21, 2026, the upper bound of the target federal funds rate leads at 31% odds with $2.4M positioned by 4,828 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$2.4M
Status
Live
Winner / Leader
No (69%)
This market resolves YES if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
31%
$748K staked
Market predicts YES
69%
$1.67M staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$3K
24h Change
+0.0%
Average Trade
$500
Total Volume
$2.41M
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Our Take
Updated Recently
Market favors NO at 69% odds. As of 9/21/2026, this market has $2.4M traded and 4,828 traders.
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Polymarket31%
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Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 41/100
$2.4M traded · Limited liquidity



