Macro Prediction Markets

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?

LIVE
14% YES
0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of August 7, 2026, the upper bound of the target federal funds rate leads at 14% odds with $427K positioned by 426 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$427K
Status
Live
Winner / Leader
No (86%)

This market resolves YES if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

14%
$60K staked

Market predicts YES

86%
$367K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$11K
24h Change
+0.0%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$427K
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Our Take

Updated Recently

Market favors NO at 86% odds. As of 8/7/2026, this market has $427K traded and 426 traders.

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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 21/100
$427K traded · Medium liquidity