Macro Prediction Markets
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
LIVE23% YES
↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of November 3, 2026, the upper bound of the target federal funds rate leads at 23% odds with $1.4M positioned by 2,767 trades and resolves January 2027.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Jan 2027
Total Volume
$1.4M
Status
Live
Winner / Leader
No (77%)
This market resolves YES if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
23%
$318K staked
Market predicts YES
77%
$1.07M staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$6K
24h Change
+0.0%
Average Trade
$500
Total Volume
$1.38M
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Our Take
Updated Recently
Market favors NO at 77% odds. As of 11/3/2026, this market has $1.4M traded and 2,767 traders.
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Polymarket23%
KalshiTBD
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Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 30/100
$1.4M traded · Limited liquidity



