Who is currently leading in Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

NO holds at 72% 4 months out. $428K has traded, suggesting strong conviction from the market with 124 days remaining.

How much money is behind these odds?

$428K total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.

How do I read these odds?

This is a binary YES/NO market. NO's 72% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 72% chance of that outcome -- more likely than not. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.

Macro Prediction Markets

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

LIVE

28% YES

↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago

As of August 30, 2026, This market leads at 28% odds with $428K positioned by 427 trades and resolves January 2027.

Market Snapshot

Resolution Date

Jan 2027

Total Volume

$428K

Status

Live

Winner / Leader

No (72%)

This market resolves YES if russia capture lyman by december 31, 2026.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

28%

$120K staked

Market predicts YES

72%

$308K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity

$17K

24h Change

+0.0%

Average Trade

$1K

Total Volume

$428K

💭

Our Take

Updated Recently

Market favors NO at 72% odds. As of 8/30/2026, this market has $428K traded and 427 traders.

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Market Confidence

LOW

Score: 21/100

$428K traded · Medium liquidity

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

Our Take

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