Who is currently leading in Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?

YES holds at 75% 66 days out. $79K has traded, suggesting overwhelming conviction from the market with 66 days remaining.

How much money is behind these odds?

$79K total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. Volume tends to accelerate as resolution approaches and traders adjust positions.

How do I read these odds?

This is a binary YES/NO market. YES's 75% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 75% chance of that outcome -- more likely than not. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.

Macro Prediction Markets

Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?

LIVE

75% YES

↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago

As of May 25, 2026, Hong Wang leads at 75% odds with $79K positioned by 157 trades and resolves July 2026.

Market Snapshot

Resolution Date

Jul 2026

Total Volume

$79K

Status

Live

Winner / Leader

Yes (75%)

This market resolves YES if hong wang win the 2026 fields medal.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

75%

$59K staked

Market predicts YES

25%

$20K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity

$2K

24h Change

+0.0%

Average Trade

$500

Total Volume

$79K

💭

Our Take

Updated Recently

Market favors YES at 75% odds. As of 5/25/2026, this market has $79K traded and 157 traders.

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Market Confidence

LOW

Score: 15/100

$79K traded · Limited liquidity

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

Our Take

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