Who is currently leading in Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?

YES holds at 100% resolving soon. $220K has traded, suggesting overwhelming conviction from the market with 0 days remaining.

How much money is behind these odds?

$220K total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.

How do I read these odds?

This is a binary YES/NO market. YES's 100% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 100% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.

Macro Prediction Markets

Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?

LIVE

100% YES

↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago

As of August 12, 2026, Hong Wang leads at 100% odds with $220K positioned by 1,100 trades and resolves July 2026.

Market Snapshot

Resolution Date

Jul 2026

Total Volume

$220K

Status

Live

Winner / Leader

Yes (100%)

This market resolves YES if hong wang win the 2026 fields medal.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

100%

$220K staked

Market predicts YES

$0 staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity

24h Change

+0.0%

Average Trade

$200

Total Volume

$220K

💭

Our Take

Updated Recently

Market strongly favors YES at 100% odds. As of 8/12/2026, this market has $220K traded and 1,100 traders.

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Market Confidence

LOW

Score: 13/100

$220K traded · Limited liquidity

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

Our Take

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