Who is currently leading in Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

NO holds at 100% 6 months out. $8.0M has traded, suggesting overwhelming conviction from the market with 165 days remaining.

How much money is behind these odds?

$8.0M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.

How do I read these odds?

This is a binary YES/NO market. NO's 100% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 100% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.

Politics Prediction Markets

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

LIVE

0% YES

↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago

As of October 18, 2026, Donald Trump leads at 0% odds with $8.0M positioned by 39,792 trades and resolves April 2027.

Market Snapshot

Resolution Date

Apr 2027

Total Volume

$8.0M

Status

Live

Winner / Leader

No (100%)

This market resolves YES if donald trump win the nobel peace prize in 2026.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

$0 staked

Market predicts YES

100%

$7.96M staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity

24h Change

+0.0%

Average Trade

$200

Total Volume

$7.96M

💭

Our Take

Updated Recently

Market strongly favors NO at 100% odds. As of 10/18/2026, this market has $8.0M traded and 39,792 traders.

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Market Confidence

MEDIUM

Score: 61/100

$8.0M traded · Limited liquidity

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

Our Take

Latest News

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Resolution Rules