Macro Prediction Markets
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
LIVE1% YES
↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of August 7, 2026, This market leads at 1% odds with $529K positioned by 529 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$529K
Status
Live
Winner / Leader
No (99%)
This market resolves YES if 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
1%
$5K staked
Market predicts YES
99%
$524K staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$19K
24h Change
+0.0%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$529K
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Our Take
Updated Recently
Market strongly favors NO at 99% odds. As of 8/7/2026, this market has $529K traded and 529 traders.
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Polymarket1%
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Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 22/100
$529K traded · Medium liquidity