Macro Prediction Markets

Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?

LIVE
4% YES
0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of June 18, 2026, This market leads at 4% odds with $479K positioned by 958 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$479K
Status
Live
Winner / Leader
No (96%)

This market resolves YES if 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

4%
$19K staked

Market predicts YES

96%
$460K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$8K
24h Change
+0.0%
Average Trade
$500
Total Volume
$479K
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Our Take

Updated Recently

Market strongly favors NO at 96% odds. As of 6/18/2026, this market has $479K traded and 958 traders.

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Polymarket4%
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Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 26/100
$479K traded · Limited liquidity