Who is currently leading in 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

NO holds at 90% 4 months out. $484K has traded, suggesting overwhelming conviction from the market with 115 days remaining.

How much money is behind these odds?

$484K total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.

How do I read these odds?

This is a binary YES/NO market. NO's 90% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 90% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.

Macro Prediction Markets

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

LIVE

10% YES

↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago

As of November 7, 2026, 2026 leads at 10% odds with $484K positioned by 484 trades and resolves March 2027.

Market Snapshot

Resolution Date

Mar 2027

Total Volume

$484K

Status

Live

Winner / Leader

No (90%)

This market resolves YES if 2026 be the second-hottest year on record.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

10%

$48K staked

Market predicts YES

90%

$436K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity

$25K

24h Change

+0.0%

Average Trade

$1K

Total Volume

$484K

💭

Our Take

Updated Recently

Market strongly favors NO at 90% odds. As of 11/7/2026, this market has $484K traded and 484 traders.

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Market Confidence

LOW

Score: 22/100

$484K traded · Medium liquidity

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

Our Take

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