Who is currently leading in 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

YES holds at 63% 7 months out. $339K has traded, suggesting strong conviction from the market with 202 days remaining.

How much money is behind these odds?

$339K total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.

How do I read these odds?

This is a binary YES/NO market. YES's 63% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 63% chance of that outcome -- more likely than not. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.

Macro Prediction Markets

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

LIVE

63% YES

↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago

As of June 12, 2026, 2026 leads at 63% odds with $339K positioned by 338 trades and resolves December 2026.

Market Snapshot

Resolution Date

Dec 2026

Total Volume

$339K

Status

Live

Winner / Leader

Yes (63%)

This market resolves YES if 2026 be the second-hottest year on record.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

63%

$214K staked

Market predicts YES

37%

$125K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity

$12K

24h Change

+0.0%

Average Trade

$1K

Total Volume

$339K

💭

Our Take

Updated Recently

Market favors YES at 63% odds. As of 6/12/2026, this market has $339K traded and 338 traders.

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Market Confidence

LOW

Score: 23/100

$339K traded · Medium liquidity

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

Our Take

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