Who is currently leading in 2026 be the hottest year on record?

NO holds at 77% 6 months out. $484K has traded, suggesting overwhelming conviction from the market with 191 days remaining.

How much money is behind these odds?

$484K total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.

How do I read these odds?

This is a binary YES/NO market. NO's 77% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 77% chance of that outcome -- more likely than not. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.

Macro Prediction Markets

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

LIVE

23% YES

↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago

As of June 23, 2026, 2026 leads at 23% odds with $484K positioned by 967 trades and resolves December 2026.

Market Snapshot

Resolution Date

Dec 2026

Total Volume

$484K

Status

Live

Winner / Leader

No (77%)

This market resolves YES if 2026 be the hottest year on record.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

23%

$111K staked

Market predicts YES

77%

$373K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity

$9K

24h Change

+0.0%

Average Trade

$501

Total Volume

$484K

💭

Our Take

Updated Recently

Market favors NO at 77% odds. As of 6/23/2026, this market has $484K traded and 967 traders.

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Market Confidence

LOW

Score: 26/100

$484K traded · Limited liquidity

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

Our Take

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