Who is currently leading in 2026 be the hottest year on record?

YES holds at 91% 4 months out. $766K has traded, suggesting overwhelming conviction from the market with 115 days remaining.

How much money is behind these odds?

$766K total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.

How do I read these odds?

This is a binary YES/NO market. YES's 91% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 91% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.

Macro Prediction Markets

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

LIVE

91% YES

↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago

As of November 7, 2026, 2026 leads at 91% odds with $766K positioned by 765 trades and resolves March 2027.

Market Snapshot

Resolution Date

Mar 2027

Total Volume

$766K

Status

Live

Winner / Leader

Yes (91%)

This market resolves YES if 2026 be the hottest year on record.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

91%

$697K staked

Market predicts YES

$69K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity

$24K

24h Change

+0.0%

Average Trade

$1K

Total Volume

$766K

💭

Our Take

Updated Recently

Market strongly favors YES at 91% odds. As of 11/7/2026, this market has $766K traded and 765 traders.

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Market Confidence

LOW

Score: 24/100

$766K traded · Medium liquidity

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

Our Take

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