Who is currently leading in 2026 be the hottest year on record?

YES holds at 64% 5 months out. $560K has traded, suggesting strong conviction from the market with 146 days remaining.

How much money is behind these odds?

$560K total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.

How do I read these odds?

This is a binary YES/NO market. YES's 64% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 64% chance of that outcome -- more likely than not. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.

Macro Prediction Markets

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

LIVE

64% YES

↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago

As of August 7, 2026, 2026 leads at 64% odds with $560K positioned by 559 trades and resolves December 2026.

Market Snapshot

Resolution Date

Dec 2026

Total Volume

$560K

Status

Live

Winner / Leader

Yes (64%)

This market resolves YES if 2026 be the hottest year on record.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

64%

$358K staked

Market predicts YES

36%

$201K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity

$11K

24h Change

+0.0%

Average Trade

$1K

Total Volume

$560K

💭

Our Take

Updated Recently

Market favors YES at 64% odds. As of 8/7/2026, this market has $560K traded and 559 traders.

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LOW

Score: 21/100

$560K traded · Medium liquidity

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

Our Take

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