Who is currently leading in 2026 be the hottest year on record?

YES holds at 73% 3 months out. $623K has traded, suggesting strong conviction from the market with 101 days remaining.

How much money is behind these odds?

$623K total, only $9K moved in the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.

How do I read these odds?

This is a binary YES/NO market. YES's 73% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 73% chance of that outcome -- more likely than not. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.

Macro Prediction Markets

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

LIVE

73% YES

↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago

As of September 21, 2026, 2026 leads at 73% odds with $623K positioned by 622 trades and resolves December 2026.

Market Snapshot

Resolution Date

Dec 2026

Total Volume

$623K

Status

Live

Winner / Leader

Yes (73%)

This market resolves YES if 2026 be the hottest year on record.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

73%

$455K staked

Market predicts YES

27%

$168K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity

$22K

24h Change

+0.0%

Average Trade

$1K

Total Volume

$623K

💭

Our Take

Updated Recently

Market favors YES at 73% odds. As of 9/21/2026, this market has $623K traded and 622 traders.

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Market Confidence

LOW

Score: 22/100

$623K traded · Medium liquidity

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

Our Take

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