Macro Prediction Markets

Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?

LIVE
5% YES
0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of June 9, 2026, 2026 leads at 5% odds with $440K positioned by 879 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$440K
Status
Live
Winner / Leader
No (95%)

This market resolves YES if 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

5%
$22K staked

Market predicts YES

95%
$418K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$9K
24h Change
+0.0%
Average Trade
$500
Total Volume
$440K
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Our Take

Updated Recently

Market strongly favors NO at 95% odds. As of 6/9/2026, this market has $440K traded and 879 traders.

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Polymarket5%
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Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 25/100
$440K traded · Limited liquidity