Who is currently leading in Macron out by December 31, 2026?

NO holds at 96% 4 months out. $21K has traded, suggesting overwhelming conviction from the market with 127 days remaining.

How much money is behind these odds?

$21K total, only $306.387 moved in the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.

How do I read these odds?

This is a binary YES/NO market. NO's 96% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 96% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.

Macro Prediction Markets

Macron out by December 31, 2026?

LIVE

4% YES

↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago

As of August 27, 2026, This market leads at 4% odds with $21K positioned by 20 trades and resolves January 2027.

Market Snapshot

Resolution Date

Jan 2027

Total Volume

$21K

Status

Live

Winner / Leader

No (96%)

This market resolves YES if macron out by december 31, 2026.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

$835 staked

Market predicts YES

96%

$20K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity

$45K

24h Change

+0.0%

Average Trade

$1K

Total Volume

$21K

💭

Our Take

Updated Recently

Market strongly favors NO at 96% odds. As of 8/27/2026, this market has $21K traded and 20 traders.

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Market Confidence

LOW

Score: 19/100

$21K traded · Medium liquidity

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

Our Take

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