World Prediction Markets·Geopolitics·2026

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

LIVE
6% YES
0.4% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of March 3, 2026, This outcome leads at 6% odds with $941K positioned by 941 trades and resolves June 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Jun 2026
Total Volume
$941K
24h Volume
$24.5K
Active Traders
941

This market resolves YES if china invade taiwan by june 30, 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

6%
$56K staked

Market predicts YES

94%
$885K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$97K
24h Change
-0.4%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$941K
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 28/100
$941K traded · Medium liquidity
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Quick Stats
Days until resolution~119
Number of trades941
Total volume$941K
Liquidity$97K