World Prediction Markets·Geopolitics·2026

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

LIVE
2% YES
0.4% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of May 23, 2026, This market leads at 2% odds with $8.8M positioned by 8,779 trades and resolves June 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Jun 2026
Total Volume
$8.8M
Status
Live
Active Traders
8,779

This market resolves YES if china invade taiwan by june 30, 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

2%
$176K staked

Market predicts YES

98%
$8.60M staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$105K
24h Change
-0.4%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$8.78M
💭

Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

📰

Latest News

AI-curated articles

Loading news articles...

🔍

Deeper Dives

Expert analysis

Compare Platforms
Polymarket2%
KalshiTBD
PredictItTBD

Additional platforms coming soon

Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
MEDIUM
Score: 66/100
$8.8M traded · Deep liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~38
Number of trades8,779
Total volume$8.8M
Liquidity$105K