World Prediction Markets·Geopolitics·2026

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

LIVE
5% YES
0.7% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of March 2, 2026, This outcome leads at 5% odds with $861K positioned by 861 trades and resolves June 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Jun 2026
Total Volume
$861K
24h Volume
$22.4K
Active Traders
861

This market resolves YES if china invade taiwan by june 30, 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

5%
$43K staked

Market predicts YES

95%
$818K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$60K
24h Change
-0.7%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$861K
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 26/100
$861K traded · Medium liquidity
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Quick Stats
Days until resolution~120
Number of trades861
Total volume$861K
Liquidity$60K