Today's Signal

Ana Paula Renault

Updated: 11h ago

The market strongly leans toward Ana Paula Renault at 93%, though outcomes remain uncertain.
0%
New to prediction markets?
📊

Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~13 days
Total Volume
$1.5M
24h Change
+$39K
Active Markets
4
⚡

Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Ana Paula Renault
#1 Ana Paula Renault
94%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
Juliano Floss
#2 Juliano Floss
2%
Quietly backed
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
Milena Moreira
Milena Moreira✦ Surprise
2%
Limited activity
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
📚

Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking who will win big brother brasil 26. Each outcome has its own separate YES/NO market. Traders can position themselves based on their expectations. The outcome will be determined based on official economic data releases and central bank announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on economic data releases, central bank communications, inflation reports, and employment figures. Trading volume of $1.5M shows significant market interest with 52 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Big Brother Brasil 26. If Big Brother Brasil 26 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Big Brother Brasil 26 has otherwise not concluded by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Big Brother Brasil 26.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

How accurate is Polymarket? See how markets compare to polls →

  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Jan 20, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Apr 30, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

💭
No analyst takes yet

Be the first to share your analysis on this market.

✍️ Submit Your Take

Frequently Asked Questions

Ana Paula Renault leads at 94%, with Juliano Floss at 2% -- a commanding 92-point lead 13 days out. $1.5M has traded across 52 positions with 13 days until resolution.
$1.5M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Ana Paula Renault's 94% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 94% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
📈

View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the Who will win Big Brother Brasil 26? event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?94%-View market
Will Juliano Floss win Big Brother Brasil 26?2%-View market
Will Milena Moreira win Big Brother Brasil 26?2%-View market
Will Leandro Rocha win Big Brother Brasil 26?1%-View market
Will Alberto Pimentel win Big Brother Brasil 26?0%-View market
Will Aline Campos win Big Brother Brasil 26?0%-View market
Trade on Polymarket →View All Nominee Markets

Go deeper

Basics

What is a prediction market?

Guide

Prediction markets explained: buying a dollar at a discount

Platforms

Compare prediction market platforms

Markets are live and updating as the race evolves.

Trade on PolymarketCompare Platforms