Today's Signal

↑ 80,000

Updated: 20h ago

The market strongly leans toward ↑ 80,000 at 99%, though outcomes remain uncertain.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~23 days
Total Volume
$9.3M
24h Change
+$241K
Active Markets
15
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
↑ 80,000
#1 ↑ 80,000
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
↑ 85,000
#2 ↑ 85,000
53%
Widely followed
People watching
Medium
Money behind it
Low
↓ 75,000
↓ 75,000✦ Surprise
44%
Widely followed
People watching
Medium
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking what price will bitcoin hit in may. Each outcome has its own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on outcomes they believe will happen, or NO on outcomes they think won't. The outcome will be determined based on verified on-chain data and credible reporting.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on price action, on-chain metrics, regulatory developments, and market momentum. Trading volume of $9.3M shows significant market interest with 110 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

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  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

May 1, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Jun 1, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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Frequently Asked Questions

↑ 80,000 leads at 100%, with ↑ 85,000 at 53% -- a commanding 47-point lead 23 days out. $9.3M has traded across 110 positions with 23 days until resolution.
$9.3M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. ↑ 80,000's 100% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 100% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the What price will Bitcoin hit in May? event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?100%-View market
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?53%-View market
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?44%-View market
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?19%-View market
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?13%-View market
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?7%-View market
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