Today's Signal

Cleveland Cavaliers

Updated: 2 hours ago

No clear favorite yet — Cleveland Cavaliers leads at 36% with Golden State Warriors close at 32%, signaling a competitive race.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~106 days
Total Volume
$23.2M
24h Change
+$603K
Active Markets
30
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1 Cleveland Cavaliers
36%
Widely followed
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
Golden State Warriors
#2 Golden State Warriors
32%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking nba: lebron james next team. Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $23.2M shows significant market interest with 23,204 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve to the next team LeBron James officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If LeBron James does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Lakers”. If LeBron James joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If LeBron James retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Lakers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

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  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Sep 1, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Oct 31, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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Frequently Asked Questions

Cleveland Cavaliers leads at 36%, with Golden State Warriors at 32% -- an unusually tight race -- only 4% separates them 4 months out. $23.2M has traded across 23,204 positions with 106 days until resolution.
$23.2M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Cleveland Cavaliers's 36% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 36% chance of that outcome -- unlikely but not impossible. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the NBA: LeBron James Next Team event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Cleveland Cavaliers36%$2424KView market
Golden State Warriors32%$2435KView market
Miami Heat17%$1809KView market
Philadelphia 76ers12%$1351KView market
Minnesota Timberwolves3%$838KView market
New York Knicks1%$962KView market
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