Today's Signal

Kimi Antonelli

Updated: 3h ago

The market currently sees Kimi Antonelli as the leader at 39%, but with George Russell close behind at 28%, indicating a competitive and still open F1 Drivers' Champion race.
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~212 days
Total Volume
$143.8M
24h Change
+$3738K
Active Markets
7
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Kimi Antonelli
#1 Kimi Antonelli
39%
Widely followed
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
George Russell
#2 George Russell
30%
Widely followed
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
Lewis Hamilton
Lewis Hamilton✦ Surprise
2%
Limited activity
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This event tracks who will be crowned the Formula 1 Drivers' Champion between December 8, 2025, and December 6, 2026. It matters because the champion gets to hold the coveted title and bragging rights, and their performance can have a material impact on outcomes for their team and sponsors. Market prices tend to move when there are updates on the drivers' standings, major racing events, or changes in the points system.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

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  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Dec 9, 2025
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Dec 6, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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Frequently Asked Questions

Kimi Antonelli leads at 39%, with George Russell at 30% -- a tight race, only 9% separates them 7 months out. $143.8M has traded across 1,712 positions with 212 days until resolution.
$143.8M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Kimi Antonelli's 39% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 39% chance of that outcome -- unlikely but not impossible. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the F1 Drivers' Champion event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?39%-View market
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?30%-View market
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?11%-View market
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?7%-View market
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?5%-View market
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?5%-View market
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