Today's Signal

Spread -24.5

Updated: 7d ago

Traders currently favor Hawks vs. Magic at 62%, with Spread -4.5 trailing.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~-7 days
Total Volume
$4.5M
24h Change
+$116K
Active Markets
36

Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Spread -24.5
#1 Spread -24.5
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
O/U 230.5
#2 O/U 230.5
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
O/U 229.5
O/U 229.5✦ Surprise
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking hawks vs. magic. Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $4.5M shows significant market interest with 3 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • In the NBA game, scheduled for April 1 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Hawks" if the Hawks win the game by 25 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Magic". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Mar 26, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Apr 1, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

Spread -24.5 leads at 100%, with O/U 230.5 at 100% -- an unusually tight race -- only 0% separates them resolving soon. $4.5M has traded across 3 positions with 0 days until resolution.
$4.5M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Spread -24.5's 100% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 100% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

Markets are live and updating as the race evolves.