Today's Signal

NVIDIA

Updated: 35m ago

NVIDIA is currently seen as the strong favorite at 99% to be the largest company at the end of March, with Apple and Tesla far behind.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~6 days
Total Volume
$16.5M
24h Change
+$429K
Active Markets
1
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Moneyshows who's watching vs. who's backing
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
NVIDIA
#1 NVIDIA
99%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
High
Money behind it
High
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact

What is Crowd vs Money?

Crowd vs Money is a signal developed by PredictionCircle to compare breadth of participation versus depth of capital commitment in a prediction market. High participation does not always indicate strong conviction. In some cases, many people express a belief about a candidate while relatively little money backs that outcome. In others, fewer people participate, but larger stakes suggest deeper commitment. This reveals how markets are distributed beyond headline odds.

  • Money behind it includes both YES and NO positions.
  • High money behind it does not imply higher probability.
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact. Not investment advice.
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This event tracks Largest Company end of March? (between Nov 11, 2025 and Mar 31, 2026). It matters because of material impact on outcomes. Market prices tend to move when there are primary sources and credible reporting, deadline proximity and updates.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Nov 12, 2025
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Mar 31, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

NVIDIA leads at 99%, with Apple at 0% -- a commanding 99-point lead 6 days out. $16.5M has traded across 2,065 positions with 6 days until resolution.
$16.5M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. NVIDIA's 99% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 99% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the Largest Company end of March? event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?99%-View market
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?0%-View market
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?0%-View market
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?0%-View market
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?0%-View market
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?0%-View market
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