Today's Signal

NVIDIA

Updated: 17h ago

The market strongly leans toward NVIDIA at 98%, though outcomes remain uncertain.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~17 days
Total Volume
$5.9M
24h Change
+$154K
Active Markets
2
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
NVIDIA
#1 NVIDIA
98%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Medium
Apple
#2 Apple
1%
Quietly backed
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Medium
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking largest company end of april. Each outcome has its own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on outcomes they believe will happen, or NO on outcomes they think won't. The outcome will be determined based on official announcements and credible sources.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on official announcements, news developments, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $5.9M shows significant market interest with 886 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

How accurate is Polymarket? See how markets compare to polls →

  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Mar 3, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Apr 30, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

NVIDIA leads at 98%, with Apple at 1% -- a commanding 97-point lead 17 days out. $5.9M has traded across 886 positions with 17 days until resolution.
$5.9M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. NVIDIA's 98% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 98% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the Largest Company end of April? event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?98%-View market
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?1%-View market
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?0%-View market
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?0%-View market
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?0%-View market
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?0%-View market
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