Today's Signal

Scottie Scheffler

Updated: 2 hours ago

No clear favorite yet — Scottie Scheffler leads at 14% with Rory McIlroy close at 12%, signaling a competitive race.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~69 days
Total Volume
$2.6M
24h Change
+$67K
Active Markets
30
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Scottie Scheffler
#1 Scottie Scheffler
14%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
Rory McIlroy
#2 Rory McIlroy
12%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
Jake Knapp
Jake Knapp✦ Surprise
1%
Quietly backed
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Medium
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking fedex cup playoffs: winner. Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $2.6M shows significant market interest with 2,580 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament. If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website https://www.pgatour.com/.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

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  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Jul 2, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Aug 31, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

Scottie Scheffler leads at 14%, with Rory McIlroy at 12% -- an unusually tight race -- only 2% separates them 69 days out. $2.6M has traded across 2,580 positions with 69 days until resolution.
$2.6M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. Volume tends to accelerate as resolution approaches and traders adjust positions.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Scottie Scheffler's 14% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 14% chance of that outcome -- unlikely but not impossible. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Scottie Scheffler14%$2KView market
Rory McIlroy12%-View market
Cameron Young10%-View market
Russell Henley4%-View market
Tommy Fleetwood3%$1KView market
Matt Fitzpatrick3%-View market
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