Today's Signal

Finland

Updated: 2 hours ago

Finland is ahead at 42% with Greece at 14%, but the race is far from settled.
0%
New to prediction markets?
📊

Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~7 days
Total Volume
$137.1M
24h Change
+$3564K
Active Markets
15
⚡

Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Finland
#1 Finland
42%
Widely followed
People watching
Medium
Money behind it
Low
Greece
#2 Greece
14%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
📚

Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking eurovision winner 2026. Each outcome has its own separate YES/NO market. Traders can position themselves based on their expectations. The outcome will be determined based on official economic data releases and central bank announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on economic data releases, central bank communications, inflation reports, and employment figures. Trading volume of $137.1M shows significant market interest with 5,899 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision https://eurovision.tv/, including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

How accurate is Polymarket? See how markets compare to polls →

  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Dec 6, 2025
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
May 16, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

💭
No analyst takes yet

Be the first to share your analysis on this market.

✍️ Submit Your Take

Frequently Asked Questions

Finland leads at 42%, with Greece at 14% -- a commanding 28-point lead 7 days out. $137.1M has traded across 5,899 positions with 7 days until resolution.
$137.1M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Finland's 42% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 42% chance of that outcome -- competitive but uncertain. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
📈

View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the Eurovision Winner 2026 event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?42%-View market
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?14%-View market
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?13%-View market
Will France win Eurovision 2026?6%-View market
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?5%-View market
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?4%-View market
Trade on Polymarket →View All Nominee Markets

Go deeper

Basics

What is a prediction market?

Guide

Prediction markets explained: buying a dollar at a discount

Platforms

Compare prediction market platforms

Markets are live and updating as the race evolves.

Trade on PolymarketCompare Platforms