Today's Signal

Finland

Updated: 5h ago

Finland is ahead at 38% with Denmark at 13%, but the race is far from settled.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~53 days
Total Volume
$32.8M
24h Change
+$852K
Active Markets
18
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Moneyshows who's watching vs. who's backing
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Finland
#1 Finland
38%
Widely followed
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
Denmark
#2 Denmark
13%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact

What is Crowd vs Money?

Crowd vs Money is a signal developed by PredictionCircle to compare breadth of participation versus depth of capital commitment in a prediction market. High participation does not always indicate strong conviction. In some cases, many people express a belief about a candidate while relatively little money backs that outcome. In others, fewer people participate, but larger stakes suggest deeper commitment. This reveals how markets are distributed beyond headline odds.

  • Money behind it includes both YES and NO positions.
  • High money behind it does not imply higher probability.
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact. Not investment advice.
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This market tracks who will be crowned the Eurovision winner in 2026. It's a big deal because the winner gets bragging rights, a boost to their music career, and a chance to be part of a legendary competition. Prices tend to shift based on recent performances, voting trends, and big news stories about the contestants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision https://eurovision.tv/, including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Dec 6, 2025
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
May 16, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

Finland leads at 38%, with Denmark at 13% -- a commanding 25-point lead 53 days out. $32.8M has traded across 996 positions with 53 days until resolution.
$32.8M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. Volume tends to accelerate as resolution approaches and traders adjust positions.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Finland's 38% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 38% chance of that outcome -- unlikely but not impossible. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the Eurovision Winner 2026 event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?38%-View market
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?13%-View market
Will France win Eurovision 2026?12%-View market
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?7%-View market
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?5%-View market
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?4%-View market
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