Today's Signal

Israel

Updated: 13h ago

Israel is ahead at 38% with Finland at 16%, but the race is far from settled.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~29 days
Total Volume
$5.7M
24h Change
+$149K
Active Markets
19
⚡

Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Israel
#1 Israel
38%
Widely followed
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
Finland
#2 Finland
17%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
Sweden
Sweden✦ Surprise
3%
Quietly backed
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking eurovision 2026: televote winner. Each outcome has its own separate YES/NO market. Traders can position themselves based on their expectations. The outcome will be determined based on official economic data releases and central bank announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on economic data releases, central bank communications, inflation reports, and employment figures. Trading volume of $5.7M shows significant market interest with 16 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision https://eurovision.tv/, including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

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  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Mar 19, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
May 16, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

Israel leads at 38%, with Finland at 17% -- a commanding 21-point lead 29 days out. $5.7M has traded across 16 positions with 29 days until resolution.
$5.7M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Israel's 38% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 38% chance of that outcome -- unlikely but not impossible. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?38%-View market
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?17%-View market
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?12%-View market
Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?8%-View market
Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?5%-View market
Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?3%-View market
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