Today's Signal

76,400

Updated: 2 hours ago

No clear favorite yet — 76,400 leads at 100% with 76,800 close at 100%, signaling a competitive race.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~-7 days
Total Volume
$4K
24h Change
+$0.1K
Active Markets
10
⚡

Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
76,400
#1 76,400
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
76,800
#2 76,800
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
77,200
77,200✦ Surprise
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking bitcoin above ___ on may 17, 8am et. Each outcome has its own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on outcomes they believe will happen, or NO on outcomes they think won't. The outcome will be determined based on verified on-chain data and credible reporting.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on price action, on-chain metrics, regulatory developments, and market momentum. Trading volume of $4K shows significant market interest with 4 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

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  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Mar 18, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
May 17, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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Frequently Asked Questions

76,400 leads at 100%, with 76,800 at 100% -- an unusually tight race -- only 0% separates them resolving soon. $4K has traded across 4 positions with 0 days until resolution.
$4K total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. 76,400's 100% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 100% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the Bitcoin above ___ on May 17, 8AM ET? event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
76,400100%-View market
76,800100%-View market
77,200100%-View market
77,600100%-View market
78,000100%-View market
78,8000%$4KView market
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