Today's Signal

Aryna Sabalenka

Updated: 2 hours ago

Aryna Sabalenka is ahead at 26% with Iga Swiatek at 15%, but the race is far from settled.
0%
New to prediction markets?
📊

Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~96 days
Total Volume
$2.5M
24h Change
+$65K
Active Markets
40
⚡

Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Aryna Sabalenka
#1 Aryna Sabalenka
26%
Limited activity
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
Iga Swiatek
#2 Iga Swiatek
15%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
Barbora Krejcikova
Barbora Krejcikova✦ Surprise
1%
Limited activity
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
📚

Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking 2026 women’s us open winner (tennis). Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $2.5M shows significant market interest with 2,513 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open https://www.usopen.org/index.html; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

How accurate is Polymarket? See how markets compare to polls →

  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Jan 2, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Sep 13, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

💭
No analyst takes yet

Be the first to share your analysis on this market.

✍️ Submit Your Take

Frequently Asked Questions

Aryna Sabalenka leads at 26%, with Iga Swiatek at 15% -- a 11-point lead 3 months out. $2.5M has traded across 2,513 positions with 96 days until resolution.
$2.5M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Aryna Sabalenka's 26% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 26% chance of that outcome -- unlikely but not impossible. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
📈

View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis) event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Aryna Sabalenka26%$5KView market
Iga Swiatek15%$5KView market
Elena Rybakina12%$67KView market
Mirra Andreeva7%$18KView market
Coco Gauff7%$10KView market
Amanda Anisimova4%$51KView market
Trade on Polymarket →View All Nominee Markets

Go deeper

Basics

What is a prediction market?

Guide

What does the price mean in prediction markets?

Platforms

Compare prediction market platforms

Markets are live and updating as the race evolves.

Trade on PolymarketCompare Platforms