Today's Signal

Scottie Scheffler

Updated: 2 hours ago

No clear favorite yet — Scottie Scheffler leads at 14% with Collin Morikawa close at 9%, signaling a competitive race.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~2 days
Total Volume
$1.5M
24h Change
+$40K
Active Markets
100
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Scottie Scheffler
#1 Scottie Scheffler
14%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
Collin Morikawa
#2 Collin Morikawa
9%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
Rory McIlroy
Rory McIlroy✦ Surprise
3%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking pga tour: the open championship winner. Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $1.5M shows significant market interest with 1,536 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 The Open Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the The Open Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the The Open Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by July 25, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website https://www.pgatour.com/.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

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  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

May 20, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Jul 19, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

Scottie Scheffler leads at 14%, with Collin Morikawa at 9% -- a tight race, only 5% separates them 2 days out. $1.5M has traded across 1,536 positions with 2 days until resolution.
$1.5M total, $40K moved in the last 24 hours -- moderate recent activity. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Scottie Scheffler's 14% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 14% chance of that outcome -- unlikely but not impossible. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the PGA Tour: The Open Championship Winner event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Scottie Scheffler14%$157KView market
Collin Morikawa9%$81KView market
Robert MacIntyre7%$55KView market
Bryson DeChambeau6%$76KView market
Cameron Young5%$47KView market
Tommy Fleetwood5%$28KView market
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