Today's Signal

Gavin McKenna

Updated: 2 hours ago

The market strongly favors Gavin McKenna at 84%, with a commanding lead over the field.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~41 days
Total Volume
$1.4M
24h Change
+$35K
Active Markets
2
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Gavin McKenna
#1 Gavin McKenna
84%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
High
Money behind it
High
Ivar Stenberg
#2 Ivar Stenberg
16%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking 2026 nhl draft: 1st overall pick. Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $1.4M shows significant market interest with 158 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve according to the player drafted No. 1 overall in the 2026 NHL Draft scheduled for June 26-27, 2026. If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion. If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NHL draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

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  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Feb 6, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Jun 27, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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Frequently Asked Questions

Gavin McKenna leads at 84%, with Ivar Stenberg at 16% -- a commanding 68-point lead 41 days out. $1.4M has traded across 158 positions with 41 days until resolution.
$1.4M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. Volume tends to accelerate as resolution approaches and traders adjust positions.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Gavin McKenna's 84% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 84% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the 2026 NHL Draft: 1st Overall Pick event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?84%-View market
Will Ivar Stenberg be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?16%-View market
Will Keaton Verhoeff be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?0%-View market
Will Tynan Lawrence be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?0%-View market
Will Chase Reid be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?0%-View market
Will Carson Carels be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?0%-View market
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