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Explore all prediction markets across categories. Filter by sports, politics, crypto, and more to find markets that interest you.

36 markets found
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📊 world
Volume
$121.6M

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money
Crowd higher (99% vs 96%)
Confidence
73%
Fresh Money
22%
Trades
121,624
📊 world
Volume
$55.9M

US next strikes Iran on...?

Strong consensus forming

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?99%
Will the US next strike Iran in January 2026 (ET)?1%
Will the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?1%
+27 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
55,903
📊 world
Volume
$17.5M

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money
Crowd higher (16% vs 11%)
Confidence
90%
Fresh Money
29%
Trades
17,539
📊 world
Volume
$9.6M

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?69%
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?66%
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?60%
+1 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
20%
Trades
9,621
📊 world
Volume
$8.9M

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

Balanced market conditions

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?76%
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?67%
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?59%
+4 more outcomes
Confidence
68%
Fresh Money
36%
Trades
8,853
📊 world
Volume
$8.2M

Next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Balanced market conditions

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?19%
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?17%
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?13%
+37 more outcomes
Confidence
63%
Fresh Money
15%
Trades
8,187
📊 world
Volume
$7.6M

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money
Crowd higher (48% vs 46%)
Confidence
82%
Fresh Money
11%
Trades
7,601
📊 world
Volume
$6.8M

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money
Money higher (41% vs 37%)
Confidence
73%
Fresh Money
38%
Trades
6,765
📊 world
Volume
$5.0M

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money
Aligned (both ~50%)
Confidence
80%
Fresh Money
29%
Trades
5,009
📊 world
Volume
$4.2M

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?31%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?22%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?6%
+2 more outcomes
Confidence
82%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
4,163
📊 world
Volume
$3.9M

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Strong consensus forming

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?37%
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?23%
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?1%
+3 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
7,862
📊 world
Volume
$2.3M

New Supreme Leader of Iran by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?81%
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?64%
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?27%
+6 more outcomes
Confidence
79%
Fresh Money
12%
Trades
2,272
📊 world
Volume
$1.7M

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

Strong consensus forming

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?17%
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?7%
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?1%
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
1,683
📊 world
Volume
$1.6M

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money
Aligned (both ~30%)
Confidence
85%
Fresh Money
38%
Trades
1,584
📊 world
Volume
$1.4M

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money
Money higher (18% vs 14%)
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
35%
Trades
1,445
📊 world
Volume
$1.4M

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?36%
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?25%
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?17%
+13 more outcomes
Confidence
62%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
1,435
📊 world
Volume
$0.9M

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Balanced market conditions

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?79%
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?70%
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?37%
+2 more outcomes
Confidence
58%
Fresh Money
20%
Trades
915
📊 world
Volume
$0.8M

Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money
Money higher (67% vs 63%)
Confidence
83%
Fresh Money
78%
Trades
799
📊 world
Volume
$0.7M

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money
Money higher (32% vs 30%)
Confidence
92%
Fresh Money
24%
Trades
738
📊 world
Volume
$0.7M

Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

Strong consensus forming

Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?23%
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?9%
Israel x Syria security agreement by September 30?1%
+4 more outcomes
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
1,433
📊 world
Volume
$0.7M

US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money
Crowd higher (12% vs 9%)
Confidence
76%
Fresh Money
13%
Trades
689
📊 world
Volume
$0.6M

Israeli parliament dissolved by...?

Strong consensus forming

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?57%
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?22%
Israeli parliament dissolved by October 31?1%
+1 more outcomes
Confidence
82%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
605
📊 world
Volume
$0.6M

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

Strong consensus forming

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?18%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?17%
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
1,170
📊 world
Volume
$0.5M

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Balanced market conditions

Crowd vs Money
Money higher (12% vs 8%)
Confidence
57%
Fresh Money
48%
Trades
468
📊 world
Volume
$0.4M

Israel strike on Yemen by...?

Strong consensus forming

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?78%
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?73%
Confidence
76%
Fresh Money
9%
Trades
440
📊 world
Volume
$0.4M

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?13%
Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?1%
Confidence
92%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
409
📊 world
Volume
$0.4M

Netanyahu out by...?

Balanced market conditions

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?33%
Netanyahu out by June 30?13%
Netanyahu out by March 31?9%
Confidence
68%
Fresh Money
14%
Trades
409
📊 world
Volume
$0.4M

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?19%
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?1%
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by October 31?1%
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
806
📊 world
Volume
$0.4M

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?

Strong consensus forming

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?39%
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2025?1%
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
750
📊 world
Volume
$0.3M

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Balanced market conditions

Crowd vs Money
Crowd higher (22% vs 18%)
Confidence
61%
Fresh Money
40%
Trades
347
📊 world
Volume
$0.3M

Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?

Strong consensus forming

Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?20%
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?1%
Confidence
95%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
693
📊 world
Volume
$0.3M

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

Balanced market conditions

Crowd vs Money
Money higher (22% vs 19%)
Confidence
65%
Fresh Money
19%
Trades
335
📊 world
Volume
$0.3M

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?65%
Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?12%
Will Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?10%
+20 more outcomes
Confidence
35%
Fresh Money
8%
Trades
320
📊 world
Volume
$0.3M

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Balanced market conditions

Crowd vs Money
Crowd higher (46% vs 44%)
Confidence
65%
Fresh Money
15%
Trades
314
📊 world
Volume
$0.3M

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Balanced market conditions

Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?39%
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?34%
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?20%
+4 more outcomes
Confidence
59%
Fresh Money
10%
Trades
288
📊 world
Volume
$0.3M

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

Balanced market conditions

Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?67%
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?61%
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?42%
Confidence
57%
Fresh Money
6%
Trades
287