World Prediction Markets·Geopolitics·2026

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

LIVE
8% YES
2.3% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of March 3, 2026, This outcome leads at 8% odds with $417K positioned by 416 trades and resolves March 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Mar 2026
Total Volume
$417K
24h Volume
$10.8K
Active Traders
416

This market resolves YES if the u.s. invade iran by march 31. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

8%
$33K staked

Market predicts YES

92%
$383K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$52K
24h Change
-2.3%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$417K
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 16/100
$417K traded · Medium liquidity
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Quick Stats
Days until resolution~28
Number of trades416
Total volume$417K
Liquidity$52K