Macro Prediction Markets·General·2026

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

LIVE
11% YES
↓ 0.5% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of February 6, 2026, This outcome leads at 11% odds with $3.9M positioned by 3,873 trades and resolves March 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Mar 2026
Total Volume
$3.9M
24h Volume
$101K
Active Traders
3,873

This market resolves YES if the iranian regime fall by march 31. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

11%
$426K staked

Market predicts YES

89%
$3.45M staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$223K
24h Change
-0.5%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$3.87M
💭

Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

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Market Confidence
MEDIUM
Score: 52/100
$3.9M traded · Deep liquidity
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Quick Stats
Days until resolution~53
Number of trades3,873
Total volume$3.9M
Liquidity$223K