Macro Prediction Markets·General·2026
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
LIVE7% YES
↓ 0.9% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of February 5, 2026, This outcome leads at 7% odds with $5.9M positioned by 5,864 trades and resolves February 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Feb 2026
Total Volume
$5.9M
24h Volume
$152K
Active Traders
5,864
This market resolves YES if khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
7%
$411K staked
Market predicts YES
93%
$5.45M staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$701K
24h Change
-0.9%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$5.86M
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Our Take
Updated Recently
The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.
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Market Confidence
MEDIUM
Score: 74/100
$5.9M traded · Deep liquidity
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Quick Stats
Days until resolution~23
Number of trades5,864
Total volume$5.9M
Liquidity$701K