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🟣 tech

Volume

$16.6M

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Strong consensus forming

Will iRobot be acquired before 2027?99%

Will Warner Bros. Discovery be acquired before 2027?99%

Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?49%

Which company has the best AI model end of March?

Balanced market conditions

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?65%

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?16%

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?14%

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money

Money higher (8% vs 2%)

Claude 5 released by…?

Strong consensus forming

Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?31%

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?6%

Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?2%

Largest Company end of June?

Balanced market conditions

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?75%

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?15%

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?8%

AI bubble burst by...?

Strong consensus forming

AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2026?15%

AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?3%

AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?1%

How high will Polymarket's mindshare go?

Strong consensus forming

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?99%

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%?99%

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 70%?99%

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

Balanced market conditions

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?57%

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?14%

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?6%

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Strong consensus forming

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?62%

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?48%

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?44%

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Balanced market conditions

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?39%

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?36%

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?12%

GPT-5.3 released by...?

Balanced market conditions

GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?99%

GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?99%

GPT-5.3 released by March 15, 2026?99%

OpenAI IPO by...?

Strong consensus forming

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?43%

Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?4%

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?1%

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Strong consensus forming

Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?99%

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?40%

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?32%

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

Balanced market conditions

Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?51%

Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?34%

Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?10%

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Balanced market conditions

Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?94%

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day?2%

Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?1%

DeepSeek V4 released by...?

Strong consensus forming

DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?70%

DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?49%

DeepSeek V4 released by January 31?1%

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Balanced market conditions

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?78%

Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?12%

Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?4%

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Balanced market conditions

Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?34%

Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?28%

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?23%

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Balanced market conditions

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?33%

Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?17%

Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?16%

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Strong consensus forming

Crowd vs Money

Money higher (73% vs 71%)

Oscars 2026: Best Makeup and Hairstyling Winner

Balanced market conditions

Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?90%

Will Sinners win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?7%

Will The Smashing Machine win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?2%

GPT-6 released by…?

Balanced market conditions

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?80%

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?66%

Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?22%