Macro Prediction Markets

Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

LIVE
19% YES
↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of October 15, 2026, there leads at 19% odds with $293K positioned by 1,467 trades and resolves January 2027.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Jan 2027
Total Volume
$293K
Status
Live
Winner / Leader
No (81%)

This market resolves YES if there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

19%
$56K staked

Market predicts YES

81%
$238K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$640
24h Change
+0.0%
Average Trade
$200
Total Volume
$293K
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Our Take

Updated Recently

Market favors NO at 81% odds. As of 10/15/2026, this market has $293K traded and 1,467 traders.

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Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 21/100
$293K traded · Limited liquidity