Macro Prediction Markets

Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

LIVE
20% YES
0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of May 26, 2026, there leads at 20% odds with $206K positioned by 412 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$206K
Status
Live
Winner / Leader
No (80%)

This market resolves YES if there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

20%
$41K staked

Market predicts YES

80%
$165K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$2K
24h Change
+0.0%
Average Trade
$501
Total Volume
$206K
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Our Take

Updated Recently

Market favors NO at 80% odds. As of 5/26/2026, this market has $206K traded and 412 traders.

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Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 22/100
$206K traded · Limited liquidity