Macro Prediction Markets

Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

LIVE
62% YES
↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of October 15, 2026, there leads at 62% odds with $189K positioned by 947 trades and resolves January 2027.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Jan 2027
Total Volume
$189K
Status
Live
Winner / Leader
Yes (62%)

This market resolves YES if there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

62%
$117K staked

Market predicts YES

38%
$72K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$536
24h Change
+0.0%
Average Trade
$200
Total Volume
$189K
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Our Take

Updated Recently

Market favors YES at 62% odds. As of 10/15/2026, this market has $189K traded and 947 traders.

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Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 18/100
$189K traded · Limited liquidity