Macro Prediction Markets

Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

LIVE
21% YES
↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of October 15, 2026, there leads at 21% odds with $421K positioned by 2,103 trades and resolves January 2027.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Jan 2027
Total Volume
$421K
Status
Live
Winner / Leader
No (79%)

This market resolves YES if there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

21%
$88K staked

Market predicts YES

79%
$332K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$712
24h Change
+0.0%
Average Trade
$200
Total Volume
$421K
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Our Take

Updated Recently

Market favors NO at 79% odds. As of 10/15/2026, this market has $421K traded and 2,103 traders.

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Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 24/100
$421K traded · Limited liquidity