Macro Prediction Markets

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?

LIVE
2% YES
0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of August 30, 2026, This market leads at 2% odds with $147K positioned by 146 trades and resolves October 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Oct 2026
Total Volume
$147K
Status
Live
Winner / Leader
No (98%)

This market resolves YES if russia test a nuclear weapon by september 30 2026.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

2%
$3K staked

Market predicts YES

98%
$144K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$19K
24h Change
+0.0%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$147K
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Our Take

Updated Recently

Market strongly favors NO at 98% odds. As of 8/30/2026, this market has $147K traded and 146 traders.

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Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 16/100
$147K traded · Medium liquidity