Macro Prediction Markets

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?

LIVE
7% YES
0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of August 31, 2026, This market leads at 7% odds with $118K positioned by 117 trades and resolves January 2027.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Jan 2027
Total Volume
$118K
Status
Live
Winner / Leader
No (93%)

This market resolves YES if russia test a nuclear weapon by december 31 2026.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

7%
$8K staked

Market predicts YES

93%
$110K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$18K
24h Change
+0.0%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$118K
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Our Take

Updated Recently

Market strongly favors NO at 93% odds. As of 8/31/2026, this market has $118K traded and 117 traders.

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Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 19/100
$118K traded · Medium liquidity