Who is currently leading in Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

NO holds at 98% 4 months out. $319K has traded, suggesting overwhelming conviction from the market with 106 days remaining.

How much money is behind these odds?

$319K total, $19K moved in the last 24 hours -- high recent activity. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.

How do I read these odds?

This is a binary YES/NO market. NO's 98% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 98% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.

Macro Prediction Markets

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

LIVE

2% YES

↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago

As of July 17, 2026, Kylian Mbappé leads at 2% odds with $319K positioned by 319 trades and resolves October 2026.

Market Snapshot

Resolution Date

Oct 2026

Total Volume

$319K

Status

Live

Winner / Leader

No (98%)

This market resolves YES if kylian mbappé win the 2026 ballon d'or.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

$6K staked

Market predicts YES

98%

$313K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity

$85K

24h Change

+0.0%

Average Trade

$1K

Total Volume

$319K

💭

Our Take

Updated Recently

Market strongly favors NO at 98% odds. As of 7/17/2026, this market has $319K traded and 319 traders.

Trade on Polymarket →

📰

Latest News

AI-curated articles

Loading news articles...

🔍

Deeper Dives

Expert analysis

Similar Markets You Might Like

Compare Platforms

Polymarket2%

KalshiTBD

PredictItTBD

Additional platforms coming soon

Trade on Polymarket

Kalshi (Soon)

Market Confidence

LOW

Score: 23/100

$319K traded · Medium liquidity

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

Our Take

Latest News

Deeper Dives

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Resolution Rules