Macro Prediction Markets
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
LIVE11% YES
↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of October 12, 2026, This market leads at 11% odds with $1.7M positioned by 1,708 trades and resolves January 2027.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Jan 2027
Total Volume
$1.7M
Status
Live
Winner / Leader
No (89%)
This market resolves YES if hamas agree to disarm by december 31.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
11%
$188K staked
Market predicts YES
89%
$1.52M staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$33K
24h Change
+0.0%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$1.71M
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Our Take
Updated Recently
Market favors NO at 89% odds. As of 10/12/2026, this market has $1.7M traded and 1,708 traders.
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Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 28/100
$1.7M traded · Medium liquidity