World Prediction Markets·Geopolitics·2026
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
LIVE8% YES
↓ 0.6% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of March 2, 2026, This outcome leads at 8% odds with $637K positioned by 636 trades and resolves June 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Jun 2026
Total Volume
$637K
24h Volume
$16.6K
Active Traders
636
This market resolves YES if china blockade taiwan by june 30. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
8%
$51K staked
Market predicts YES
92%
$586K staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$47K
24h Change
-0.6%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$637K
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Our Take
Updated Recently
The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.
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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 24/100
$637K traded · Medium liquidity
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Quick Stats
Days until resolution~120
Number of trades636
Total volume$637K
Liquidity$47K