Macro Prediction Markets
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026
LIVE4% YES
↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of October 15, 2026, This market leads at 4% odds with $13K positioned by 13 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$13K
Status
Live
Winner / Leader
No (96%)
This market resolves YES if friedrich merz out as chancellor of germany before november 30, 2026.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
4%
$520 staked
Market predicts YES
96%
$12K staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$44K
24h Change
+0.0%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$13K
💭
Our Take
Updated Recently
Market strongly favors NO at 96% odds. As of 10/15/2026, this market has $13K traded and 13 traders.
📰
Latest News
AI-curated articles
Loading news articles...
🔍
Deeper Dives
Expert analysis
Compare Platforms
Polymarket4%
KalshiTBD
PredictItTBD
Additional platforms coming soon
Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 16/100
$13K traded · Medium liquidity