Tech Prediction Markets·Innovation·2026

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

LIVE
3% YES
↓ 0.3% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of May 26, 2026, This market leads at 3% odds with $561K positioned by 561 trades and resolves June 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Jun 2026
Total Volume
$561K
Status
Live
Active Traders
561

This market resolves YES if xai have a #1 ai model by june 30. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

3%
$17K staked

Market predicts YES

97%
$545K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$6K
24h Change
-0.3%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$561K
💭

Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

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Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 18/100
$561K traded · Limited liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~35
Number of trades561
Total volume$561K
Liquidity$6K