Today's Signal

March 31, 2026

Updated: 5h ago

No clear favorite yet-August 31 leads at 1% with September 30 close at 1%, signaling a competitive race.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~0 days
Total Volume
$6.7M
24h Change
+$175K
Active Markets
1
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Moneyshows who's watching vs. who's backing
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
March 31, 2026
#1 March 31, 2026
1%
Quietly backed
People watching
Low
Money behind it
High
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact

What is Crowd vs Money?

Crowd vs Money is a signal developed by PredictionCircle to compare breadth of participation versus depth of capital commitment in a prediction market. High participation does not always indicate strong conviction. In some cases, many people express a belief about a candidate while relatively little money backs that outcome. In others, fewer people participate, but larger stakes suggest deeper commitment. This reveals how markets are distributed beyond headline odds.

  • Money behind it includes both YES and NO positions.
  • High money behind it does not imply higher probability.
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact. Not investment advice.
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This event tracks whether Donald Trump will meet with Vladimir Putin again between August 15, 2025, and March 31, 2026. It matters because a meeting between the two leaders could have a significant impact on various outcomes, especially considering the current geopolitical landscape. Market prices tend to move when there are credible news reports or official updates about a potential meeting, as well as when the deadline for the meeting approaches. Prices may also shift based on developments related to Ukraine and other foreign policy issues that could influence the likelihood of a meeting.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓On August 15, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin met in person at Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson near Anchorage, Alaska, for a summit focused on potential peace terms in Ukraine. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Donald Trump on a separate occasion from the August 15, 2025 meeting by by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Encounters that are part of, or a continuation of, the August 15 meeting will not qualify, even if they occur on a different day (e.g. August 16). A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Aug 15, 2025
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Mar 24, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

March 31, 2026 leads at 1%, with August 31 at 0% -- an unusually tight race -- only 1% separates them resolving soon. $6.7M has traded across 1,635 positions with 0 days until resolution.
$6.7M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. March 31, 2026's 1% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 1% chance of that outcome -- unlikely but not impossible. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the Will Trump meet with Putin again by...? event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?1%-View market
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 31?0%-View market
Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?0%-View market
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?0%-View market
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?0%-View market
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?0%-View market
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