Today's Signal

Alexandre Pantoja

Updated: 2 hours ago

No clear favorite yet — Alexandre Pantoja leads at 49% with Joshua Van close at 47%, signaling a competitive race.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~127 days
Total Volume
$1.2M
24h Change
+$31K
Active Markets
11
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Alexandre Pantoja
#1 Alexandre Pantoja
49%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Medium
Money behind it
Medium
Joshua Van
#2 Joshua Van
47%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Medium
Money behind it
Low
Manel Kape
Manel Kape✦ Surprise
2%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking who will be ufc flyweight champion at the end of 2026. Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $1.2M shows significant market interest with 1,180 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC https://www.ufc.com/athletes.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

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  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Nov 1, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Dec 31, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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Frequently Asked Questions

Alexandre Pantoja leads at 49%, with Joshua Van at 47% -- an unusually tight race -- only 2% separates them 4 months out. $1.2M has traded across 1,180 positions with 127 days until resolution.
$1.2M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Alexandre Pantoja's 49% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 49% chance of that outcome -- competitive but uncertain. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026? event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Alexandre Pantoja49%$9KView market
Joshua Van47%$7KView market
Manel Kape2%$3KView market
Amir Albazi0%$790KView market
Tim Elliott0%$306KView market
Asu Almabayev0%$59KView market
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