Today's Signal

Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor

Updated: 2 hours ago

No clear favorite yet — Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor leads at 100% with Holloway to win by KO/TKO? close at 100%, signaling a competitive race.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~-15 days
Total Volume
$18.6M
24h Change
+$483K
Active Markets
11
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor
#1 Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor
100%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
High
Money behind it
High
Holloway to win by KO/TKO?
#2 Holloway to win by KO/TKO?
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
Fight won by KO/TKO?
Fight won by KO/TKO?✦ Surprise
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking ufc 329: max holloway vs. conor mcgregor (welterweight, main card). Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $18.6M shows significant market interest with 18,570 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve to "Max Holloway" if Max Holloway is officially declared the winner of the fight against Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Conor McGregor" if Conor McGregor is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

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  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

May 13, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Jul 12, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor leads at 100%, with Holloway to win by KO/TKO? at 100% -- an unusually tight race -- only 0% separates them resolving soon. $18.6M has traded across 18,570 positions with 0 days until resolution.
$18.6M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor's 100% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 100% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor100%$17549KView market
Holloway to win by KO/TKO?100%$356KView market
Fight won by KO/TKO?100%$23KView market
McGregor to win by KO/TKO?0%$287KView market
O/U 2.5 Rounds0%$209KView market
Fight won by submission?0%$65KView market
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