World Prediction Markets·Geopolitics·2026

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

LIVE
1% YES
0.7% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of May 30, 2026, This market leads at 1% odds with $31.0M positioned by 31,049 trades and resolves May 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
May 2026
Total Volume
$31.0M
Status
Live
Active Traders
31,049

This market resolves YES if strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of may. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

1%
$310K staked

Market predicts YES

99%
$30.74M staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$627K
24h Change
-0.7%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$31.05M
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

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Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
HIGH
Score: 83/100
$31.0M traded · Deep liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~1
Number of trades31,049
Total volume$31.0M
Liquidity$627K