Today's Signal

No Bond chosen

Updated: 2 hours ago

The market strongly favors No Bond chosen at 82%, with a commanding lead over the field.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~37 days
Total Volume
$2.9M
24h Change
+$76K
Active Markets
15
⚡

Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
No Bond chosen
#1 No Bond chosen
82%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
Callum Turner
#2 Callum Turner
9%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
Jacob Elordi
Jacob Elordi✦ Surprise
3%
Limited activity
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking next james bond actor. Each outcome has its own separate YES/NO market. Traders can position themselves based on their expectations. The outcome will be determined based on official economic data releases and central bank announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on economic data releases, central bank communications, inflation reports, and employment figures. Trading volume of $2.9M shows significant market interest with 2,904 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This is a market on who will be the next actor to play James Bond in the upcoming film series.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

How accurate is Polymarket? See how markets compare to polls →

  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Aug 4, 2025
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Jun 30, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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Frequently Asked Questions

No Bond chosen leads at 82%, with Callum Turner at 9% -- a commanding 73-point lead 37 days out. $2.9M has traded across 2,904 positions with 37 days until resolution.
$2.9M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. Volume tends to accelerate as resolution approaches and traders adjust positions.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. No Bond chosen's 82% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 82% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the Next James Bond actor? event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
No Bond chosen82%$287KView market
Callum Turner9%$153KView market
Jacob Elordi3%$282KView market
Aaron Taylor-Johnson3%$154KView market
Harris Dickinson2%$217KView market
Jack Lowdon1%$147KView market
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