Today's Signal

Cleveland Cavaliers

Updated: 2 hours ago

The market strongly favors Cleveland Cavaliers at 93%, with a commanding lead over the field.
0%
New to prediction markets?
📊

Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~97 days
Total Volume
$1.3M
24h Change
+$33K
Active Markets
30
⚡

Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
#1
#1 Cleveland Cavaliers
93%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
#2
#2 Phoenix Suns
26%
Limited activity
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
✦
Atlanta Hawks✦ Surprise
1%
Quietly backed
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Medium
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
📚

Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking nba free agency: james harden next team. Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $1.3M shows significant market interest with 1,269 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve to the next team James Harden officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

How accurate is Polymarket? See how markets compare to polls →

  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Sep 1, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Oct 31, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

💭
No analyst takes yet

Be the first to share your analysis on this market.

✍️ Submit Your Take

Frequently Asked Questions

Cleveland Cavaliers leads at 93%, with Phoenix Suns at 26% -- a commanding 67-point lead 3 months out. $1.3M has traded across 1,269 positions with 97 days until resolution.
$1.3M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Cleveland Cavaliers's 93% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 93% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
📈

View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the NBA Free Agency: James Harden Next Team event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Cleveland Cavaliers93%$4KView market
Phoenix Suns26%$31KView market
San Antonio Spurs2%-View market
Golden State Warriors2%-View market
Oklahoma City Thunder2%-View market
Minnesota Timberwolves2%-View market
Trade on Polymarket →View All Nominee Markets

Go deeper

Basics

What is a prediction market?

Guide

What does the price mean in prediction markets?

Platforms

Compare prediction market platforms

Markets are live and updating as the race evolves.

Trade on PolymarketCompare Platforms