Today's Signal

>$2B

Updated: 2 hours ago

No clear favorite yet->$2B leads at 100% with >$3B close at 100%, signaling a competitive race.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~44 days
Total Volume
$53.8M
24h Change
+$1399K
Active Markets
2
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
>$2B
#1 >$2B
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Medium
>$3B
#2 >$3B
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Medium
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking monad fdv one day after launch. Each outcome has its own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on outcomes they believe will happen, or NO on outcomes they think won't. The outcome will be determined based on verified on-chain data and credible reporting.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on price action, on-chain metrics, regulatory developments, and market momentum. Trading volume of $53.8M shows significant market interest with 36,814 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Monad's token is greater than $2,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Monad doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

How accurate is Polymarket? See how markets compare to polls →

  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Jun 26, 2025
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Jun 30, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

>$2B leads at 100%, with >$3B at 100% -- an unusually tight race -- only 0% separates them 44 days out. $53.8M has traded across 36,814 positions with 44 days until resolution.
$53.8M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. Volume tends to accelerate as resolution approaches and traders adjust positions.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. >$2B's 100% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 100% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the Monad FDV one day after launch? event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?100%-View market
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?100%-View market
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?0%-View market
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?0%-View market
Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?0%-View market
Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?0%-View market
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